Categories
Research

Raleigh discovers the Internet

According to Nielsen//NetRatings [“The extra slash is for slashing prices!”] Raleigh, NC’s active at home online population grew 29% from January 2002 to January 2003, and Nashville and Sacramento grew by 19%. That seems…implausible.

N//NR continues:

The fastest growing local market experienced some big shifts in income levels over the past year. In Raleigh, the number of people with at home Internet access reporting a household income of $75,000 to $99,999 a year increased by 72 percent (see Table 2) from January 2002 to January 2003. Other high-income groups online grew as well with the $100,000 to $149,999 income bracket growing eight percent and the wealthiest bracket of $150,000 to $999,999 moving up 17 percent. By contrast the lowest household income bracket for those with at home Internet access saw its active online audience decrease by 26 percent.

“Raleigh has experienced major growth in high income households that have Internet access over the past year,” said Bloom “This will make it a prime regional target for marketers looking to push big ticket items like luxury cars and appliances.”

This recommendation would be wrong even if the data were correct, which I doubt. Wouldn’t it make more sense to target your ads to markets with the greatest concentration of affluent customers and not the fastest growth?

Categories
Analysis

Enemies of liberty

One of the greatest dangers of consolidation and corporate control of the Net is that it creates a choke-point for government control.

Pennsylvania is using it to keep Internet users from accessing a class of forbidden sites. In this case it’s kiddie porn. Kiddie porn and terrorism are the stalking-horses for control of our lives and liberty.

The Homeland Security Act apparently has a provision that illegalizes model rocket engines. The choke-point? UPS and other carriers are refusing to handle them.

Speaking of choke-points, I want to gag every time I hear the phrase “enemies of liberty“. Search for it on Google News and see what you get. I got quotes from George W. Bush, John Ashcroft, and Oliver North — enemies of liberty indeed.

Categories
Research

Is Jakob Nielsen losing it?

WebWord has an great discussion of Jakob Nielsen’s latest screed — “Homepage Real Estate Allocation“. The consensus seems to be that he hasn’t had a new idea since the nineties and that he’s more concerned with selling books and seminars than on increasing usability.

Jakob is a force for good on the Web and it’s hard to argue with the idea that most home pages have too little information on them. But his ruthlessly reductionist approach ignores design as a source of humanity and pleasure as well as information. As Adam Greenfield says, “Poor Jakob. What a cold universe he must occupy.”

Finally, Jakob illustrates this piece with a pie chart, the worst information graphic in the known universe. I defy you to guess the absolute or relative sizes of the OS, Navigation, and Content slices in Jakob’s chart without refering to the the text.

Categories
Research

Required registration: worth the paper it's printed on?

The Atlanta Journal Constitution carried a story saying that a lot of news sites, with the exception of USA Today’s parent Gannett were moving to required registration. Now, USA Today says it’s testing registration, asking for gender, zip code and year of birth.

How reliable is this self-reported data? I lie on site registrations unless there’s a compelling reason to tell the truth, and I’m not alone. A friend of mine tries to get this fellow Safeway customers to trade discount cards with him simply so he can dirty up their database.

On a lot of sites, the most populous zip code is 90210. That might be a good way to test the quality of a registration database. Divide the percentage of the Internet population that’s in 90210 by percentage of the site’s population whose zip code is 90210 and multiply the result by 100. The closer a site’s index is to 100, the higher the quality of its self-reported demographics.

Any advertiser that accepts self-reported demographics on required-registration news sites is guilty of professional malfeasance.

Categories
Research

The problem of measuring at-work usage

As media sites discover the benefits of selling the at-work audience to advertisers, the problem of measuring the at-work audience becomes more pressing.

Ratings services depend on the cooperation end-users in measuring their use. But what if the computer and the network it’s connected to aren’t owned by the user?

As far as I know, it’s not possible to get a representative sample of at-work Web users.

Categories
Research

Why don't more Americans use mobile phones?

US residents are a lot less likely to use a mobile phone than the people in any country in Europe, according to Telephia (via Emarketer).

Emarketer thinks this is because (1) land line phone service is cheap in the US and (2) GSM is widespread in Europe. I wonder if it has anything to do with the atrocious marketing and pricing by US providers. Whatever you think of the Baby Bells and the people who regulate them, they have created a system as simple and cheap as our mobile system is expensive and complex.

If Michael Powell gets his way, our land line service will look more like our mobile service.

Categories
News

A micropayment solution?

Ron Rivest has come up with a new way to handle micropayments.

By paying every Nth randomly-selected payment at N times the amount of the transaction, he says he can reduce the overhead of lots of little transactions to a single transaction. It’s also significantly less complex than some earlier solutions.

That seems to be pretty cool. I’m less sure of the advantages over simply aggregating transactions and clearing them in bulk. Also, it doesn’t seem to address the inherent behavioral issues of micropayments.

Finally, while selling music on the net seems to be an ideal application for micropayments, I’d hate to start a company whose success depends on waiting for the recording trust to do it right.

Categories
News

Do not adjust your set

Apparently Tivo is now automatically tuning in the Discovery channel when it’s turned on. This reminds me of the way that hotel room TV’s take control when you turn them on.

Combine this with Tivo’s ability to update its own software, download unrequested programs to your hard disk, and upload information about how you use your TV, and you begin to wonder how much control you’ll have over your media use in the future.

[Thanks, Adam Greenfield!]

Categories
Research

Free research: at-work use

Emarketer is offering a free research report on at-work use. This report supports the growing trend to selling at-work readers as a distinct market to advertisers.

Categories
News

I don't understand this Google/Blogger thing

I have no idea what Google gets from buying Blogger that they couldn’t get for free. Judging from the response, I’m not alone. Blogging will never be a mass-market phenomenon (Blogger has 200,000 active users). The protocols that underlie blogging are so open that there are no obvious technical synergies. Giving preference to Blogger customers would throttle Google’s golden-egg-laying goose.

Dave Winer says it’s Google can offer blogging to their enterprise customers, but it’s not clear to me why that adds value to Google’s enterprise services. Mitch Ratcliffe says “The acquisition of Blogger gives Google a channel to put its automated searching capabilities into people’s hands…[it] also raises Google’s potential to reshape the Net by focusing on how links are made and managed.” But I don’t understand why they have to own Blogger to do that. Three years from now, Blogger will be a neglected subsidiary–not a strategic asset.

There are plenty of interesting grass roots efforts to make sense of blogspace, but we haven’t seen anything yet from the masters of extracting information from links. Buying Blogger seems like a step in the wrong direction.